17 Aug 2023
The Baltic response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
A history of atrocities at the hands of Moscow steels the resolve of its neighbouring states.
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10 Aug 2023
Fake news, propaganda, and the withering of commitment to truth
Joseph Stalin’s denial of access for Western journalists during the Second World War heralded the birth of disinformation. -
2 Aug 2023
Moscow, we have a problem
Once useful mouthpieces, Russian military bloggers reporting from the front lines in Ukraine are now making the Kremlin nervous. -
28 Jul 2023
Exploring an end game in Ukraine? Not yet
Moves towards negotiations are risky and could be interpreted by Putin as a sign of weakening Western resolve. -
25 Jul 2023
Cluster munitions: A necessary defensive strategy for Ukraine
It is Russia, not Ukraine, abusing international principles. The law must not obstruct Ukraine to fight back. -
19 Jul 2023
Why China tripled its heavy truck shipments to Central Asia: Unravelling the influence of Russia’s war in Ukraine
A sharp spike in overall exports to the region appears to provide Beijing a pathway to indirectly support the Kremlin’s war effort. -
19 Jul 2023
Why the Black Sea Grain Initiative must be restored
The collapse of a deal integral to world food security will imperil millions of lives. -
13 Jul 2023
Putin is Xi’s useful idiot
In the geopolitical tussle between superpowers, Russia pays the price and China reaps the benefits. -
12 Jul 2023
How long can Putin’s “special relationship” with Erdoğan last?
Despite mutterings about a Turkish “stab in the back”, Russia needs Türkiye – Putin’s reign may depend on it. -
11 Jul 2023
Beijing’s bad bet on Moscow
The collapse of the Putin regime is something China wants to avoid. A weak Kremlin is better than a headless one. -
6 Jul 2023
Australia’s absent ambassador must return to Ukraine
If the PM won’t provide more than a few military off-casts in support, sending back the top envoy should be an easy step. -
3 Jul 2023
Unleashing chaos: Nova Kakhovka Dam destruction threatens global food security
The collapse of critical hydroelectric infrastructure will have devastating knock-on effects for Europe’s breadbasket. -
26 Jun 2023
Australians stand with Ukraine – but attention won’t last indefinitely
The latest Lowy Poll should be a warning about the risk of not debating the end goal in a conflict. -
26 Jun 2023
Prigozhin’s mutiny: What does it mean for Putin – and Russia?
A bizarre and audacious rebellion by the Kremlin’s own hired mercenaries has irrevocably weakened the regime. -
24 Jun 2023
What does Wagner’s revolt mean for the future of Russia?
The most serious challenge to Putin’s authority yet – even if crushed – has already done significant harm to the elite structures of the Russian Federation. -
22 Jun 2023
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: Why and why now?
Putin’s desire to bring Ukraine back into the fold is mired in imperial nostalgia and bitter resentment. -
20 Jun 2023
Chemical weapons: Impunity is killing deterrence
Poisoning continues as a favoured form of invisible warfare meted out by dictators and autocrats, with horrific results. -
23 May 2023
It’s time Australia branded Russia’s Wagner Group a terrorist organisation
A record of abuses in conflicts from Ukraine to Africa makes designating the Russian group the right choice. -
22 May 2023
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is spurring a transition of global order
We’re only beginning to grasp the far-reaching ramifications from escalating tensions and economic disruptions caused by Moscow’s belligerence. -
15 May 2023
China to the rescue, with peace plans for Saudi, Iran, Russia, Ukraine and Afghanistan – up to a point
These diplomatic gambits all carry a message. But conflict resolution isn’t necessarily the main one. -
12 Apr 2023
What does China want in Ukraine?
Beijing has reservations about Putin’s war, but seeing Moscow take a beating is not in China’s interests. -
5 Apr 2023
What of the Rohingya? The ICC, Ukraine, and limits of “international” justice
The International Criminal Court will always be seen as a selective tool unless states agree to decide cases on need. -
5 Apr 2023
Russia’s shifting far right: the war party
A powerful conservative movement in Moscow dictates that Russia only wins if an independent Ukraine ceases to exist. -
4 Apr 2023
To help end war in Ukraine, the Quad should back India to engage Russia
India might be accused of playing both sides but also has the special relationships to lead a push towards a settlement. -
29 Mar 2023
Japan feels the pinch as fertiliser costs soar thanks to Russia’s war
The country has for too long relied on foreign sources without cultivating domestic alternatives. -
14 Mar 2023
Will China really funnel weapons to Russia through Belarus?
With war on his doorstep, the Belarusian president is juggling Beijing and Moscow to reap the benefits of geography. -
3 Mar 2023
Why does Putin persist?
For all his mistakes, the Russian leader knows the objectives of Ukraine and its Western backers don’t exactly coincide. -
24 Feb 2023
Russia has already lost. The next year will decide if Ukraine can win
A revitalised NATO and unflagging Western support will help, but it is still up to Ukraine to defeat the Russian army. -
22 Feb 2023
Wang Yi’s fruitless diplomacy in Europe
Beijing misunderstands that Russia’s war in Ukraine – and China’s failure to condemn it – has vastly changed views. -
22 Feb 2023
Russia in Ukraine: accountability and global order on the precipice
Not since the Second World War has international security been so inseparably tied to the prosecution of atrocity crimes. -
14 Feb 2023
Why North Korea is denying its involvement in Russia’s war in Ukraine
Pyongyang appears to be a reluctant participant in Putin’s brutal offensive in Eastern Europe. -
13 Feb 2023
Ukraine needs tanks – Australia should send some
The war is entering a new phase and our support needs to keep pace with developments on the ground. -
9 Feb 2023
With caution and tact: How Asian countries voted on Ukraine at the UN
A resolution forces nations to show their hand. After Russia’s invasion, consistency has not been to everyone’s liking. -
3 Feb 2023
Russia, Ukraine and the wars of the Soviet succession
Putin’s war is part of the untidy and slow-motion disintegration of the Soviet Union. -
12 Jan 2023
The hard road to justice for Russian war crimes
Prosecution of war crimes in Ukraine are crucial to maintain international law and the peace and security it promotes. -
23 Dec 2022
How to Interpret 2022: Russia invades Ukraine
Vladimir Putin seemed convinced Kyiv would fall in days. We look back at ten months of war. -
22 Dec 2022
The Interpreter 2022: Your most-read articles
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine dominated the year. But readers also wanted to know all about Southeast Asia’s elections. -
20 Dec 2022
Zelenskyy: when the “Lion of Kyiv” addressed the Lowy Institute
The anatomy of an interview with a wartime president. -
19 Dec 2022
Christmas in Ukraine: hope, defiance, determination
Celebrating under a shadow cast by war. -
13 Dec 2022
2022: A global turning point
Looking at trends and contours that have coalesced this year to make international politics more contested and unpredictable. -
21 Nov 2022
Ukraine: No end in sight
A ceasefire proposal would likely be rejected as a Russian ploy, yet with winter closing, neither side can expect let up. -
9 Nov 2022
Countdown to Asia’s summit season
Conflict in Myanmar and Ukraine against a backdrop of US‑China tension – a crowded agenda will unfold in coming weeks. -
19 Oct 2022
The banality of Putin’s evil
Putin is driven by the imperatives of regime security – preserving his kleptocratic rule – not national security. -
17 Oct 2022
Could China save the world?
It is difficult to imagine Xi Jinping brokering peace in Ukraine, but if China wants to be respected, this is a chance. -
12 Oct 2022
If Russia breaks the nuclear taboo
Would the use of a lower yield atomic weapon really prompt the same catastrophic logic of escalation? -
25 Sep 2022
Ukraine conflict: turning point?
Putin’s new escalatory threats and the near-existential battle for Russia and its president. -
20 Sep 2022
The war in Ukraine is pushing Central Asia away from Russia
Russia’s loss has been China’s gain. -
1 Sep 2022
A new solidarity? Olaf Scholz on the future of Europe
Acknowledging the continent’s centre is “moving eastwards” marked the German chancellor’s address as visionary, of sorts. -
22 Aug 2022
Six months of war in Ukraine: Europe’s life and fate
Emotions have inevitably subsided but support for Ukraine remains resolute – enough to dismay Putin-loving populists. -
11 Aug 2022
India and Russia: friends for a reason, friends for a season
Delhi plays a delicate balancing act between self-interest and historical friendship. And it’s all about oil and gas.